TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Northwestern vs Oregon: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Northwestern vs Oregon?

Volume:
$47,217

Northwestern wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 4:13 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,422
N/A
N/A
$5,724
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,654
N/A
N/A
$9,043
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,518
N/A
N/A
$5,422
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,591
N/A
N/A
$4,568
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,398
N/A
N/A
$2,398
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,354
N/A
N/A
$1,456
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,557
N/A
N/A
$1,552
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$821
N/A
N/A
$770
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$679
N/A
N/A
$658
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$224
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Northwestern and Oregon. Outcomes are determined solely by the scoring margin within the initial 15 minutes of play, without considering the full game result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the first quarter of the Northwestern vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for either team's victory margin within that quarter. If Oregon wins by exceeding the designated margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the respective 'Oregon wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Northwestern achieves the required margin, the corresponding 'Northwestern wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Markets remain active if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, resolving based on official first-quarter results. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the eventual game outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Northwestern vs Oregon spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter of the game. You’ll see a dynamic display of the odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on Oregon winning by a certain margin, or Northwestern covering a specific spread. The dashboard also shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $519, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $519. This allows you to gauge market activity and sentiment surrounding the game’s opening quarter.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their genuine beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly, potentially offering value for informed bettors. It's important to compare the two to identify potential edges and understand where the crowd’s wisdom differs from expert analysis.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first quarter of the Northwestern vs Oregon football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see which contracts won and receive their payouts shortly after the game’s first quarter concludes and the results are officially reported.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Northwestern or Oregon would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions affecting the passing or running game, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Finally, even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly impact this market as information spreads and traders adjust their positions.