TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Northwestern and Oregon. Outcomes are determined solely by the scoring margin within the initial 15 minutes of play, without considering the full game result.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the first quarter of the Northwestern vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for either team's victory margin within that quarter. If Oregon wins by exceeding the designated margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the respective 'Oregon wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Northwestern achieves the required margin, the corresponding 'Northwestern wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Markets remain active if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, resolving based on official first-quarter results. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the eventual game outcome.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their genuine beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly, potentially offering value for informed bettors. It's important to compare the two to identify potential edges and understand where the crowd’s wisdom differs from expert analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first quarter of the Northwestern vs Oregon football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see which contracts won and receive their payouts shortly after the game’s first quarter concludes and the results are officially reported.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Northwestern or Oregon would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions affecting the passing or running game, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Finally, even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly impact this market as information spreads and traders adjust their positions.