TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Northwestern vs Oregon: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Northwestern vs Oregon?

Volume:
$189,810

Northwestern wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 5:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,595
N/A
N/A
$13,718
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,566
N/A
N/A
$7,826
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,619
N/A
N/A
$5,779
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 4.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,438
N/A
N/A
$2,957
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,266
N/A
N/A
$35,507
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,699
N/A
N/A
$15,714
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,913
N/A
N/A
$11,248
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,380
N/A
N/A
$9,325
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,237
N/A
N/A
$1,798
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,380
N/A
N/A
$4,482
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,421
N/A
N/A
$2,793
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,311
N/A
N/A
$1,259
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,685
N/A
N/A
$1,217
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
$686
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
$816
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 20.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$761
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$665
N/A
N/A
$665
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$619
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$531
N/A
N/A
$531
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$433
N/A
N/A
$433
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets tracks the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether one team will establish a significant lead over the other before halftime. Outcomes are determined solely by the score at the end of the first half, with various thresholds defining different market resolutions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Northwestern vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's lead exceeds the designated point margin by the end of the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting equitable settlement considering all available information up to that point. The markets exclusively consider first-half performance, with no regard for the final full-game outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Northwestern vs Oregon spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. You'll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2,961. The total volume traded on this market is $3,017. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see how others are predicting the outcome of the first half.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand from traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of traders believe Oregon will cover the spread, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes than traditional odds, though discrepancies can occur.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first half of the Northwestern vs Oregon football game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the determining factor for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.

Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either Northwestern or Oregon would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could impact market sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also contribute to price movements in this market.