TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Oregon will win its college football game against Northwestern. Currently, Kalshi gives Oregon a 56.0% probability of winning, while Northwestern is at 44.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Northwestern vs Oregon game originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, as reported by the game’s final score. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Oregon wins the game scheduled to conclude on October 31, 2026.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Northwestern vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. If Oregon wins, the 'Oregon' market resolves to Yes; if Northwestern wins, the 'Northwestern' market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the diverse perspectives represented in each venue. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other’s trading activity, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Northwestern vs Oregon game. This creates a fluid pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Northwestern vs Oregon game, as officially reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Key player injuries on either the Northwestern or Oregon team would likely cause significant price movement. Unexpected coaching changes, major shifts in team performance during the season, or even significant weather forecasts for the game day could all impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news related to team morale, internal conflicts, or strategic adjustments could also contribute to fluctuations in the market. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential shifts in the perceived probability of each outcome.