TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:22h:10m
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This market tracks which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming college football game between Northwestern and Ohio State. It focuses solely on the first half performance, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends on whether Ohio State, Northwestern, or neither team (in case of a tie) is ahead when the first half concludes.
The market resolves based on the first half performance of the Northwestern vs Ohio State college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026. If Ohio State scores more points than Northwestern in the first half, the market resolves to Yes for the Ohio State outcome. If Northwestern scores more points than Ohio State in the first half, the market resolves to Yes for the Northwestern outcome. If both teams score an equal number of points in the first half, resulting in a tie, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. For all outcomes, only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current expectation. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the first half. The current top outcome is not available.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team in the first half of the Northwestern vs Ohio State game will determine the outcome of this market. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports source, will be used to settle all contracts. Traders should monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the market is reacting to real-time events and adjust their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all lead to movement. Unexpected performance during the game itself, such as a quick scoring drive or a crucial turnover, will likely have an immediate impact. Additionally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.