TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a college football game between Northwestern State and Incarnate Word, scheduled for October 31, 2026. The result depends solely on which team wins the match. If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still counts; any longer delay or cancellation leads to a fair price resolution.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Northwestern State versus Incarnate Word college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that may diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporating unique perspectives not fully captured by conventional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the game’s likely result. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at various price points, indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Northwestern St. vs Incarnate Word game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and the platform for the official resolution announcement.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Any significant news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player performance could shift trader sentiment. Game-day weather forecasts and updated statistical analyses also have the potential to impact the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Major media coverage and public perception, as reflected in polls or expert predictions, can also contribute to price movements within this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.