TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine?

Total volume:
$114
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$5,717
22%
Open interest:
$114
0%

Ukraine

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:18h:25m

Ukraine wins

31%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 30¢ buys you 333 shares | Odds: 31% Total Payout: $333 | Net Profit: $233 Multiplier: 3.33x | ROI: 233% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ukraine

Trade
31%
Yes 30¢No 72¢
2¢
N/A
$114
0%
N/A
$114
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Ukraine

Trade
29%
1%
Yes 31¢No 73¢
4¢
$1,909
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
31%
Yes 30¢No 72¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Northern Ireland

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Northern Ireland

Trade
41%
Yes 43¢No 61¢
4¢
$1,909
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine)

Trade
31%
Yes 32¢No 71¢
3¢
$1,899
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Northern Ireland and Ukraine scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets ask whether Northern Ireland will win, Ukraine will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution relies on official match results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket has detailed no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi relies solely on the 90-minute result.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's market may resolve to 'No' in scenarios where Kalshi would resolve based on the result as played (if abandoned).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, doesn't start by November 16, 2026, or is abandoned with no official result, the market resolves to 'No'. Abandoned games resolve based on governing body rulings or the result as played if no ruling is made.
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No specific provisions are made for cancellations or abandoned matches beyond the initial 90-minute result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Northern Ireland and Ukraine, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Northern Ireland wins the Northern Ireland vs Ukraine professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Ukraine wins the Northern Ireland vs Ukraine professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Northern Ireland vs Ukraine professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $114, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view, reflecting the collective predictions of market participants. Polymarket currently favors Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-11-14? at 41.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Ukraine wins at 31.0%. The dashboard allows you to compare these probabilities and see how the market is evolving.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, however, are driven purely by the wisdom of the crowd, where traders buy and sell contracts based on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market aggregates diverse information and perspectives. While sportsbooks may react to news and adjust lines, this market reflects real-time sentiment and can potentially identify mispricings faster.

Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific rules and fee structures on each platform can create discrepancies. Market sentiment can also diverge temporarily, as different groups of traders may prioritize different information or have varying risk appetites. These differences are normal and reflect the independent functioning of each market.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Northern Ireland or Ukraine would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also influence the odds. Major geopolitical events or shifts in public sentiment surrounding the teams could also play a role. Monitoring sports news, team announcements, and overall market activity will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 14, 2026.