TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
This prediction group covers the spread for the UEFA Nations League match between Northern Ireland and Georgia. Multiple markets exist, each representing a different point spread (e.g., Northern Ireland -1.5, Georgia -2.5) and determining the winner based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Outcomes depend entirely on the goal differential from the Northern Ireland vs Georgia UEFA Nations League match on October 5, 2026. If Northern Ireland wins by over 2.5 goals, the first market resolves positively; a narrower victory by more than 1.5 goals satisfies the second. Georgia must win by more than 1.5 goals to meet the third criterion, and exceeding 2.5 goals achieves the fourth. Evaluation occurs after regulation time plus stoppage minutes, not including extra time or penalties.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on Kalshi and Predict for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers and react more quickly to breaking news, creating temporary discrepancies. The volume in this market is currently $24,852.