TOTAL VOLUME:
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Northern Ireland faces Georgia in a UEFA Nations League match on October 5, 2026, where the focus will be on offensive performance. The key factor is whether both teams can score during the standard match duration, influencing the match's intensity and fan engagement.
If Northern Ireland and Georgia both score a goal in the Northern Ireland vs Georgia UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook underestimates the chance of BTTS, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering better value than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but discrepancies can exist, presenting arbitrage opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both Northern Ireland and Georgia will score during the match. The price of these contracts reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result. The current price indicates the probability implied by the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Northern Ireland and Georgia score at least one goal each during the scheduled match time, including any added injury or stoppage time. The result will be based on official match data and will be determined by whether both teams have a score greater than zero at the final whistle. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Northern Ireland or Georgia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches released by the managers could shift trader sentiment. Finally, even public opinion and betting trends observed elsewhere could influence activity on Kalshi.