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410,482

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Northern Ireland vs. Georgia
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Northern Ireland vs. Georgia?

Volume:
$1,237,483

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$131,870
N/A
N/A
$77,858
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Georgia)

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
67%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$28,385
$23,292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

GEO

View
1%
28%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$135
$33,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Georgia

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179,875
N/A
N/A
$129,708
Settled
No
polymarket

Georgia

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104,751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

NIR

View
1%
40%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$7,221
$75,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Northern Ireland

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$414,116
N/A
N/A
$241,674
Settled
No
polymarket

Northern Ireland

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$246,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Northern Ireland and Georgia. Currently, the aggregated probability of a draw is 100.0%. This consensus view combines data from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official result reported by https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on October 5, 2026, as this is when the match is scheduled to conclude and the market will resolve based on the final outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves the draw market to 'Yes' upon cancellation, while Kalshi keeps the markets open.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading. Polymarket's draw market may be more sensitive to cancellation news than the win markets on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the draw market resolves to 'Yes' and win markets resolve to 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Northern Ireland and Georgia.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Northern Ireland vs Georgia professional UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Northern Ireland wins, the 'Northern Ireland' market resolves to Yes. If Georgia wins, the 'Georgia' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the regular time result, excluding extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Northern Ireland and Georgia.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Northern Ireland vs. Georgia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,237,483, with $1,039,442 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential results, reflecting the collective predictions of market participants. The dashboard provides a combined perspective, showing where the crowd believes the most likely outcome lies for this contest. As traders buy and sell contracts, the probabilities dynamically adjust, offering a real-time assessment of expectations.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and differing incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated knowledge of informed traders, potentially identifying mispricings that sportsbooks may miss. Furthermore, prediction markets often have lower transaction costs and allow for more nuanced betting strategies than traditional sportsbooks, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. The volume of $1,237,483 suggests significant interest in this event.