TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:15h:19m
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In the upcoming college football game between Northern Iowa and South Dakota, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Northern Iowa" if Northern Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Northern Iowa and South Dakota, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Northern Iowa" if Northern Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for November 14, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profit, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders, potentially incorporating unique insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs, and allow participants to adjust their positions as new information emerges, leading to potentially more efficient pricing.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to variations in user base, market design, and liquidity. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Polymarket may have a higher concentration of casual bettors, while Kalshi might attract more sophisticated participants. Additionally, the specific rules and fees associated with each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. These factors contribute to the possibility of differing probabilities for the same event, as reflected in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Northern Iowa vs. South Dakota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. The outcome will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the final outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 14, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Northern Iowa or South Dakota would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected coaching changes, significant changes in team performance during recent games, or even weather forecasts impacting game conditions could also move the market. Any news affecting team morale or public perception could also influence trader behavior. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the odds in this market.