TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm
Volume:
$3,199,716
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Northern Iowa Panthers and St. John's Red Storm on March 20 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different scopes: Kalshi settles exclusively on 1st Half combined scoring thresholds, while Polymarket settles on full-game outcomes (winner, spread, total points). The markets measure different events within the same game.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on 1st Half scoring only (thresholds from 50.5 to 74.5 combined points). If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on full-game outcomes (winner, spread, or total points 131.5–146.5). These are independent events — a high-scoring 1st Half does not guarantee a high full-game total, and vice versa. Do not assume correlation between the two platforms' resolutions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves exclusively on 1st Half combined team scoring. All nine markets settle YES if combined 1st Half points exceed thresholds ranging from 50.5 to 74.5 points. Key quote: 'If the teams in the game collectively score more than [threshold] points in the 1st Half of the Northern Iowa vs St. John's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on full-game outcomes across three distinct categories: (1) winner (Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm), (2) spread (St. John's by 9.5 to 23.5 points), and (3) total points (Over/Under 131.5 to 146.5 combined). Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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