TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:22h:59m
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This event group concerns a women's college basketball game between Northern Iowa Panthers and South Dakota State Jackrabbits scheduled for November 6, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for cancellation or abandonment.
In the upcoming CWBB game between Northern Iowa Panthers and South Dakota State Jackrabbits, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the winner of the women’s college basketball game between Northern Iowa and South Dakota State, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks aim to set odds that attract balanced betting, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s price can be influenced by factors not fully captured by sportsbooks, such as insider information or nuanced analysis. While both aim to predict the same event, the mechanisms and participants create distinct pricing dynamics.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can vary, leading to price discrepancies. Different interpretations of available information, or even simply differing levels of risk aversion among traders on each platform, can also contribute to these price differences. These variations are a natural part of a decentralized market.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Northern Iowa Panthers versus South Dakota State Jackrabbits college football game. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather forecasts could impact trader sentiment. Significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also drive price movements. Finally, public opinion shifts, as reflected in media coverage and social media, can influence the collective prediction and therefore the price of this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.