TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the combined score of Northern Illinois and Wyoming in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceeds various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that traders can speculate on.
All markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the Northern Illinois vs Wyoming college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceed the specified threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. While sportsbook odds represent a central estimate, the price on Kalshi can incorporate a wider range of factors, including news, injuries, and even subtle shifts in public opinion, potentially offering a more nuanced view of the likely outcome. It’s common to see differences between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the Northern Illinois vs Wyoming game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific total being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular total, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the game's likely outcome, creating a real-time assessment of the points total.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Northern Illinois vs Wyoming game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a total equal to the actual game total will settle at 100, while those predicting a different total will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Northern Illinois or Wyoming would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift prices, reflecting changes in trader sentiment as the game approaches.