TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the point differential outcome of a college football game between Northern Illinois and Wyoming. Participants assess whether the winning team will exceed specific point margins, offering varied thresholds for potential payouts.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Northern Illinois vs Wyoming college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market specifies a different point margin threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds that margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve per the updated result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, or market dynamics. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their beliefs. It's common to see this market initially diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly early on, before potentially aligning closer to the event date as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Northern Illinois vs Wyoming game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, dynamically adjusting as new information and opinions emerge. This creates a real-time forecast of the game's spread, driven by user activity.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Northern Illinois vs Wyoming football game. The market will settle based on which side of the spread the final score falls on. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a transparent and objective resolution based on the actual game result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Northern Illinois or Wyoming would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted for the game location, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching changes or significant shifts in team performance during other games could also play a role. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game, as well as any major betting trends observed in sportsbooks, could all contribute to fluctuations in this market’s price.