TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts whether the total points scored in the Northern Illinois versus UNLV college football game will exceed 54.5. Currently, the probability of the game scoring over 54.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the total points scored in the Northern Illinois vs UNLV game, as reported according to the rules specified in the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve to Yes or No based on the final score following the originally scheduled game date of Oct 31, 2026, with final settlement occurring by November 1, 2026.
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a specific threshold of total points scored by both teams in the Northern Illinois vs UNLV college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of the specific outcome. The markets are independent, with each threshold evaluated separately against the actual game score.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely buying and selling contracts. If there's a significant difference, it might indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities from both sources to see where the discrepancies lie.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Northern Illinois vs UNLV game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams will be tallied, and the market will settle to 100 for the contract representing the actual total points scored. All other contracts will settle to 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Northern Illinois or UNLV teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Even public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or social media discussions, can contribute to shifts in price. As the game draws closer, any late-breaking information will be quickly incorporated into the market price.