TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:43 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team needs to score for the market to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores over the designated point threshold in the Northern Illinois vs UNLV college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The operator emphasizes it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular team total is more or less likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events influence public perception of the game's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability that traders collectively assign to that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals for both Northern Illinois and UNLV are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final official statistics from the game will be used to determine which team total outcomes settle in the money. Traders holding contracts for the correct team total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The specific payout amount is determined by the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Northern Illinois or UNLV would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or starting lineups, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.