TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the first half performance of Northern Colorado and UC Davis in their college football game. The outcome depends entirely on which team holds the lead at the end of the first two quarters.
The market resolves based on the first half winner of the Northern Colorado vs UC Davis college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If UC Davis wins the first half, the market resolves to Yes for UC Davis. If Northern Colorado wins the first half, the market resolves to Yes for Northern Colorado. If neither team wins the first half (i.e., a tie), the market resolves to Yes for Tie. Only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and at a sportsbook, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the game. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective assessment of the game's potential results. The current market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve based on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Northern Colorado vs UC Davis game. The official game result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will then process the results and distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the first-half winner.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact perceptions of each team's chances. Significant betting activity from informed traders, or even large-volume purchases, can also cause price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market is driven primarily by traders' own assessments. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market's outlook.