TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:17 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams will face off, and the market will determine which team leads at halftime. The outcome depends solely on the scoring during the first half of the game, ignoring any events from the second half.
The market resolves based on which team leads at the end of the first half of the specified college football game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Only points scored in the first half count toward the outcome.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public opinion. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting or a disagreement in expected results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s consensus expectation – a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can set their own bid and ask prices, creating a dynamic market that adjusts in real-time as new information becomes available and opinions shift. This creates a unique environment for expressing and capitalizing on predictive insights.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the Northern Colorado vs Eastern Washington game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Resolution will be based on official game statistics and results as reported by recognized sports authorities. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed based on publicly available information and established sports regulations.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to the game. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all cause the price to fluctuate. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market. Any late-breaking news could significantly alter the perceived probabilities.