TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams compete in a match scheduled for October 10, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures a victory in this head-to-head contest. The result is determined by the official game outcome, with specific provisions for postponements or cancellations.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Northern Colorado vs Eastern Washington college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Eastern Washington wins, the market for that outcome resolves to Yes; if Northern Colorado wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell, leading to probabilities that can diverge from sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. It's important to compare both to gain a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price of a 'yes' outcome represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information efficiently and provide a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current market reflects the collective predictions of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final, official result of the Northern Colorado vs Eastern Washington game as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions expected during the game could also play a role, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also impact trading activity. Major upsets in other related games or broader conference standings could indirectly influence the market as well, as traders reassess probabilities.