TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming college football game between Northern Arizona and Idaho State, scheduled for October 3 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Arizona" if Northern Arizona win the game. This market will resolve to "Idaho State" if Idaho State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Northern Arizona and Idaho State, scheduled for October 3 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Arizona" if Northern Arizona win the game. This market will resolve to "Idaho State" if Idaho State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional betting markets, particularly when complex factors are at play. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies between the two can signal potential value or differing perspectives on the likely outcome of the Northern Arizona vs. Idaho State game.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the game's potential results. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform, creating a forward-looking estimate of the game’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Northern Arizona vs. Idaho State game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this information. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Northern Arizona or Idaho State would likely cause price movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to adjustments in the market. Monitoring these factors and staying informed about the teams involved is crucial for understanding potential shifts in the odds for this market before Oct 4, 2026.