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404,136

Markets across

40,075

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4,369

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VS.

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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels?

Total volume:
$35
Volume 24h:
$1
50%
Liquidity:
$739
44%
Open interest:
$35
3%

UNLV

 - Kalshi

UNLV - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:14h:31m

UNLV wins

91%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 91% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UNLV

Trade
91%
Yes 94¢No 8¢
2¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
$2
1d 14h 31m
Active
kalshi

Northern Arizona

Trade
7%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$33
3%
N/A
$33
1d 14h 31m
Active
polymarket

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Trade
27%
13%
Yes 27¢No 86.5¢
—
$739
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 31m
Active
predict

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Trade
N/A
N/A
36¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 11h 31m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 36¢Max: 36¢
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks and the UNLV Runnin' Rebels, scheduled for November 3rd. The markets aim to determine which team will win the game, with provisions for handling postponements and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines resolution as 'Yes' if either team wins, while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Polymarket's market allows for a more precise prediction of the winner. Kalshi's market is essentially a 'will a winner be declared?' market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team: 'Northern Arizona Lumberjacks' or 'UNLV Runnin' Rebels'. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50-50. Source: ncaa.com. "If the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks win, the market will resolve to 'Northern Arizona Lumberjacks'. If the UNLV Runnin' Rebels win, the market will resolve to 'UNLV Runnin' Rebels'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins the game. "If UNLV wins the Northern Arizona vs UNLV men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Northern Arizona wins the Northern Arizona vs UNLV men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Northern Arizona Lumberjacks and UNLV Runnin' Rebels on November 3 at 10:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the men's college basketball game between Northern Arizona and UNLV scheduled for November 3, 2026. If UNLV wins, the market for UNLV resolves to Yes; if Northern Arizona wins, the market for Northern Arizona resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, both markets will resolve to a fair price.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Northern Arizona Lumberjacks and UNLV Runnin' Rebels on November 3 at 10:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the NAU vs. UNLV game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $35, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting what traders believe will happen in the game. Polymarket currently favors Northern Arizona winning at 27.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Northern Arizona winning at 91.0%. This market allows you to see how opinions shift as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and to balance action, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many independent traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's significant public information available. However, sportsbooks may offer more favorable odds on certain outcomes to attract bets, creating a difference in pricing. It’s valuable to compare both to find the most advantageous opportunity.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing levels of information access or interpretation among traders on each platform can lead to varied assessments of the likelihood of different outcomes in the NAU vs. UNLV game. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more efficient pricing, but even then discrepancies can occur.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks versus UNLV Runnin' Rebels game. The final score and official game results will be used to verify the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the game result to understand how this market will settle.

Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting game play could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or key player availability would likely cause significant price movement. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, especially if it indicates a change in confidence regarding either team’s chances of winning the NAU vs. UNLV game.