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$154.4b

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$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (W)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Northern Arizona vs Arizona State?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$31
0%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (W)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 03d:02h:03m

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (W)

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 84% Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils (W)

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 2h 3m
Active
kalshi

Arizona St.

Trade
N/A
N/A
15¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 5h 3m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 56.5¢Max: 98¢
kalshi

Northern Arizona

Trade
N/A
N/A
22¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 5h 3m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns a women's college basketball game between Northern Arizona Lumberjacks and Arizona State Sun Devils, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. Markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for cancellation or abandonment.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines 'Yes' as either team winning, while Polymarket requires a definitive winner determined by sources before abandonment, with a 50-50 split for cancellation/abandonment.Hero tip: Be aware that Kalshi's market effectively includes the possibility of a winner, while Polymarket's market is conditional on a completed game with a determined winner. Factor in the likelihood of game cancellation or abandonment.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on a definitive winner determined by listed sources before abandonment, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled or abandoned without a result. "If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Arizona State or Northern Arizona wins the game. "If Arizona St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Northern Arizona wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CWBB game between Northern Arizona Lumberjacks and Arizona State Sun Devils, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Northern Arizona vs Arizona State women’s college basketball game scheduled for November 5, 2026. If Arizona State wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Northern Arizona’s resolves to No. Conversely, if Northern Arizona wins, its market resolves to Yes, and Arizona State’s resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Arizona college football market, specifically the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (W) matchup. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus expectation, with a total volume of $0 across both platforms. The dashboard provides a weighted average of the probabilities offered on each platform, giving users a comprehensive overview of where the crowd stands. This allows for a quick assessment of the market's sentiment and potential trading opportunities within this particular contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, whereas sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets may incorporate information and perspectives not immediately considered by sportsbooks. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds based on betting volume to manage risk, while this market's prices are driven purely by supply and demand. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but discrepancies can offer arbitrage opportunities.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks versus Arizona State Sun Devils (W) game. The platform will utilize publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement. The outcome will be determined by the final score of the game.

Several signals could significantly shift this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks or the Arizona State Sun Devils would undoubtedly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected coaching changes or significant shifts in team strategy could also move the market. Furthermore, any news regarding weather conditions expected during the game, or changes in public sentiment based on media coverage, could influence trader behavior. Finally, large-volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and drive price changes.