TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, and the outcome depends on whether the team's actual score exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the North Texas vs Navy college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. These markets are independent of each other, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome based on the team's performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a particular team total is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded, as the market aggregates information and adjusts expectations. This can offer opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total point ranges. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Buying a contract is essentially betting that the team total will fall within that range, while selling a contract is betting against it. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both North Texas and Navy will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract ranges traded on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct team totals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 25, 2026. News regarding key player injuries for either North Texas or Navy would likely cause price adjustments, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact the game's scoring potential. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could also move the market. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or defensive matchups could also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of specific team totals will be reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.