TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between North Macedonia and Scotland. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both North Macedonia and Scotland in their UEFA Nations League match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee; goals scored during extra time, penalty shootouts, or any other post-regulation proceedings are excluded from the resolution. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold. The resolution is final and binding once official match records are confirmed. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate forecasters of events than traditional odds, as they aggregate information from a diverse range of participants. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public perception and promotional offers, leading to discrepancies with this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the total goals scored in the North Macedonia vs Scotland match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price represents the collective forecast of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the North Macedonia vs Scotland match, as officially recorded by the governing football body, will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the final scoreline, and any official adjustments made after the match. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their positions on Kalshi following official confirmation. It's important to note that any potential overtime or penalty shootouts will be considered in the total goal count.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either North Macedonia or Scotland would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect expectations about the number of goals scored. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from football experts, tactical formations announced by the coaches, and even public sentiment expressed on social media could all contribute to shifts in the market. Unexpected events during the match itself, like early red cards, could also dramatically alter the outcome and the price.