TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between North Macedonia and Scotland, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between North Macedonia and Scotland, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by individuals directly wagering on the outcome, which can lead to a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes identifying mispriced opportunities that sportsbooks haven’t fully accounted for.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each halftime result in the North Macedonia vs. Scotland match. The current leading outcome, according to the market, is Scotland leading at halftime.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The halftime result of the North Macedonia vs. Scotland match will be used to determine the winning outcome. This means the market will settle based on which team, if any, was leading at the end of the first half of the game. The resolution will be based on official game data and sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either North Macedonia or Scotland could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns and analyst predictions, can impact the trading activity and, consequently, the odds on Polymarket. Any significant event related to the teams or the match itself has the potential to move this market.