TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event centers on the UEFA Nations League fixture between North Macedonia and Scotland, focusing on whether each team scores at least one goal during the match's regular time. The resolution hinges on the attacking efficiency of both teams over the course of 90 minutes and stoppage time.
If North Macedonia and Scotland both score a goal in the North Macedonia vs Scotland UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing the probability of both teams scoring, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially closer to the event, as more information becomes available and more people participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score' occurring in the North Macedonia vs Scotland match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, team lineups, and other relevant information, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both North Macedonia and Scotland score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the market will resolve in favor of 'Yes'; if either team fails to score, it will resolve in favor of 'No'. The final result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either North Macedonia or Scotland would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Late-breaking team news, such as confirmed starting lineups, and even public sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations on Kalshi as traders adjust their predictions.