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417,059

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4,415

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North Macedonia vs. Scotland
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of North Macedonia vs. Scotland?

Volume:
$1,194,157

Scotland

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 6:46 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Scotland

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$358,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Scotland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$293,467
N/A
N/A
$143,851
Settled
Yes
predict

SCO

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$16,046
$63,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

North Macedonia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184,225
N/A
N/A
$137,176
Settled
No
polymarket

North Macedonia

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

MAC

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$5,530
$11,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123,126
N/A
N/A
$98,335
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (North Macedonia vs. Scotland)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$5,751
$17,885
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between North Macedonia and Scotland on October 3, 2026, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 10.0%, aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. The second most likely outcome is a North Macedonia win, with a 10.0% probability. Resolution will be based on official statistics recognized by UEFA. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 3, 2026, to see if the game concludes in a draw as the betting period closes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the 90-minute result, with similar fallback procedures for data availability and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, markets for a team to win resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • No Data Within 24 Hours: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours after the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between North Macedonia and Scotland.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the North Macedonia vs Scotland UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If North Macedonia wins, the 'North Macedonia' market resolves to Yes. If Scotland wins, the 'Scotland' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price according to the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between North Macedonia and Scotland.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the North Macedonia vs. Scotland match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one result, though opinions diverge. Total volume for this market is $1,194,157, with $1,040,048 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available and to compare the collective wisdom of the crowd to traditional betting odds. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of expectations.

Prediction market odds, such as those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more nuanced and potentially accurate assessment of probabilities, especially when significant information isn't yet widely available. However, arbitrage opportunities can emerge, causing convergence between the two types of odds as traders exploit discrepancies.