TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Feb 18, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between North Dakota State Bison and South Dakota State Jackrabbits scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread (-1.5 favoring NDSU), and multiple over/under totals (144.5, 145.5, 146.5, 147.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (NDSU win and SDSU win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Polymarket moneyline, spread, and over/under markets are safe to trade; all use consistent binary logic with explicit cancellation handling (50-50 split if no make-up game).Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If South Dakota St. wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If North Dakota St. wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible for a binary market. No cancellation or postponement clause provided.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name (NDSU or SDSU). Spread resolves binary: NDSU wins by 2+ = NDSU, else SDSU. Over/unders use clear point thresholds (144.5, 145.5, 146.5, 147.5). All markets include postponement (stay open) and cancellation (50-50) clauses. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.