TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
North Dakota State Bison vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks (W)
Volume:
$92,076
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between North Dakota State Bison and North Dakota Fighting Hawks scheduled for February 15, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory - it states both possible outcomes (North Dakota St. wins AND North Dakota wins) resolve to Yes, which is impossible for a binary event. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (winner name). This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as documented.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the market terms are clarified with the platform. The current documentation suggests a critical error in market design. Polymarket's market is resolvable and clear: the winner's name determines the outcome. If you must choose, Polymarket is the safer venue.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Claims both North Dakota St. win and North Dakota win both resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible and suggests either a documentation error or a critical market design flaw. Key Quote: 'If North Dakota St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If North Dakota wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Standard categorical resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team (either 'North Dakota State Bison' or 'North Dakota Fighting Hawks'). Includes clear edge case handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key Quote: 'If the North Dakota State Bison win, the market will resolve to North Dakota State Bison. If the North Dakota Fighting Hawks win, the market will resolve to North Dakota Fighting Hawks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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