TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the North Dakota St. vs UNLV college football game. Currently, Kalshi gives UNLV an 81.0% probability of winning, while North Dakota St. is at 19.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game as determined by Kalshi, referencing a resolution source stating that a North Dakota St. win will resolve the market to Yes. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 10, 2026, as the result of this fixture will determine the market’s outcome, with resolution expected by October 11, 2026.
Resolution depends on the winner of the North Dakota St. vs UNLV college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A victory for UNLV resolves its market to Yes; a North Dakota St. win resolves its market accordingly. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original schedule, markets stay open and resolve based on the official final result. Cancellation or a failure to start within 48 hours results in all markets resolving to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the odds here can move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the North Dakota St. vs UNLV game, as reported by official sources. The market will determine which outcome—a win for North Dakota St. or a win for UNLV—is the correct one based on the game's official results. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing side will not.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either North Dakota St. or UNLV would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they could impact the game's conditions, could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities and, consequently, the market prices.