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North Dakota St. vs New Mexico: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of North Dakota St. vs New Mexico?

Volume:
$1,892,536

New Mexico wins by over 4.5 points

 - Kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 4.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 1:34 AM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$494,374
N/A
N/A
$351,932
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$174,432
N/A
N/A
$119,525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,372
N/A
N/A
$18,896
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,301
N/A
N/A
$20,110
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$242,250
N/A
N/A
$168,369
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179,821
N/A
N/A
$106,626
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165,883
N/A
N/A
$96,388
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159,785
N/A
N/A
$99,133
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,959
N/A
N/A
$73,061
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120,755
N/A
N/A
$63,338
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,406
N/A
N/A
$42,572
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,838
N/A
N/A
$13,105
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,230
N/A
N/A
$16,312
Settled
No
kalshi

North Dakota St. wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,892
N/A
N/A
$14,858
Settled
No
kalshi

North Dakota St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,983
N/A
N/A
$6,532
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,914
N/A
N/A
$6,053
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,583
N/A
N/A
$5,681
Settled
No
kalshi

North Dakota St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,955
N/A
N/A
$3,646
Settled
No
kalshi

North Dakota St. wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,892
N/A
N/A
$3,140
Settled
No
kalshi

North Dakota St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,742
N/A
N/A
$2,772
Settled
No
kalshi

North Dakota St. wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,585
N/A
N/A
$2,905
Settled
No
kalshi

North Dakota St. wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,557
N/A
N/A
$3,550
Settled
No
kalshi

New Mexico wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,717
N/A
N/A
$2,332
Settled
No
kalshi

North Dakota St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,557
N/A
N/A
$2,329
Settled
No
kalshi

North Dakota St. wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,513
N/A
N/A
$2,358
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks whether New Mexico will win their college football game against North Dakota State by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives an 88.0% probability to New Mexico winning by over 1.5 points, with resolution determined by the outcome of the North Dakota St. vs New Mexico game originally scheduled for October 24, 2026. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final point differential following the conclusion of play on October 24, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the North Dakota State vs New Mexico college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the North Dakota St vs New Mexico spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $1,850,319. The total volume traded on Kalshi for this market is currently $1,892,536. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and understand the overall sentiment surrounding the potential outcome of the game, all within Kalshi.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own predictions. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of contracts representing that outcome will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads in the North Dakota St vs New Mexico game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a collective assessment of the game’s likely result. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of those trading on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the North Dakota St vs New Mexico game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing spread will forfeit their investment. The final score will be the determining factor for settlement of this market.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the North Dakota St or New Mexico teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis or media coverage, can also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly before Oct 25, 2026.