TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the last quarter will be. The outcomes depend solely on the combined points achieved by both teams during that specific period, without considering overtime or any other factors.
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a different point threshold that must be exceeded by the combined score of North Carolina and Pittsburgh in the fourth quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market to resolve to 'Yes,' the total points scored by both teams during the fourth quarter—excluding overtime—must surpass the specified threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution of each market is independent, with each threshold evaluated separately against the actual game outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may adjust lines based on betting action to manage risk. This market, however, is driven by individuals expressing their genuine beliefs about the outcome, and the price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. While there can be correlation, differences often emerge due to varying information sources and motivations between prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 4th quarter total. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'Yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the North Carolina vs Pittsburgh game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the North Carolina vs Pittsburgh game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics published by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine whether the 4th quarter total is above or below a specific threshold, as defined by the contract details on Kalshi. Traders holding the winning contracts will receive a payout of 100 minus the price they paid.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either North Carolina or Pittsburgh would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. In-game performance during the first three quarters—such as a dominant offensive showing by one team—could lead traders to adjust their predictions. Finally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market before it resolves.