TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between North Carolina and Pittsburgh during the second quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses exclusively on the scoring differential within that specific quarter, offering various thresholds for victory margins.
The event resolves based on the point differential between North Carolina and Pittsburgh exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets cover varying threshold amounts for either team to win by—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The event is unaffiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between Kalshi and sportsbooks. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the North Carolina vs Pittsburgh game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result, as determined by the governing body of the college football game. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the North Carolina or Pittsburgh teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also shift the market. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi by informed traders could also create price fluctuations as others react to their actions.