TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets track the performance of Duke and North Carolina in an upcoming college football game, focusing on the total receiving yards each team accumulates during the match. These markets allow participants to speculate on whether each team's receiving yards will meet or exceed specific thresholds. The outcomes are determined by official game statistics, with specific rules for handling postponements and overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards recorded by Duke or North Carolina in the college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Receiving yards from both regulation time and the first or second overtime periods count toward the total, but successful two-point conversions—including those in overtime—do not contribute. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 125+, 150+, etc.) for the respective team’s receiving yards; if the team meets or exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that prediction market traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible receiving yardage totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind different predictions. Traders aim to profit by accurately forecasting the final receiving yardage total.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage totals for both the North Carolina Tar Heels and Duke Blue Devils are verifiable from credible public reporting following the conclusion of their game. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the total receiving yards for each team, and this will be used to determine the winning contracts in this market. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official results are released.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. News regarding key player injuries on either team, particularly wide receivers or quarterbacks, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact the passing game and shift expectations. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, may influence trader behavior and affect the prices in this market.