TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between North Carolina and Duke. It provides a way to speculate on the momentum and performance of each team specifically in the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
If Duke wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the North Carolina vs Duke college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the North Carolina vs Duke college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the North Carolina vs Duke college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially emphasize public perception or biases, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Over time, as more information becomes available and trading volume increases, the odds in this market can converge with, or diverge from, sportsbook odds based on how traders interpret the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in their accuracy.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the fourth quarter of the North Carolina vs Duke basketball game will be declared the winner of this market. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics, and the result will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the 4th quarter winner will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even unexpected performance in earlier games could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in team dynamics could also impact the odds. As the game approaches, real-time updates during the first three quarters—such as scoring trends, foul trouble, or key player matchups—will likely cause the most dramatic movements in this market. Public perception and late-breaking news are key catalysts.