TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between North Carolina and Duke during the second quarter of their college football game. It focuses exclusively on the scoring differential within that specific timeframe, offering various thresholds for victory margins.
The event resolves based on the point differential between North Carolina and Duke exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Markets cover varying threshold amounts for either team to win by, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the expected outcome and potential value in either market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second quarter between North Carolina and Duke will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game would also likely have a significant impact. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information and potentially identify trading opportunities.