TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (W)
Volume:
$123,346
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) game between North Carolina State Wolfpack and Pittsburgh Panthers scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (NC State win and Pittsburgh win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket. Kalshi's market structure is broken and cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. This is a critical data integrity failure that makes Kalshi's version unsuitable for trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution. NC State win resolves to 'North Carolina State Wolfpack', Pittsburgh win resolves to 'Pittsburgh Panthers'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: states 'If North Carolina St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Pittsburgh wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution state, creating logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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