TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Duke Blue Devils (W)
Volume:
$85,390
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between North Carolina State Wolfpack and Duke Blue Devils scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory, mapping both possible game outcomes (NC State win and Duke win) to the same resolution state (Yes). This violates binary market principles and renders the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version. The market cannot be settled fairly because both outcomes resolve identically. Trade only Polymarket, which has coherent winner-take-all logic. Report this to Kalshi as a critical market design error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary winner-take-all structure. NC State win resolves to NC State; Duke win resolves to Duke. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolvable and fair.
- Kalshi: Logically incoherent. Both NC State win and Duke win are stated to resolve to Yes. No resolution path for No. Creates impossible settlement scenario where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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