TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between North Carolina Courage and San Diego Wave FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Diego Wave FC" if San Diego Wave FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between North Carolina Courage and San Diego Wave FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Diego Wave FC" if San Diego Wave FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. As a result, the implied probabilities from this market can sometimes differ from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. This difference can present opportunities for informed traders who can identify discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see this market move independently based on its own unique information flow.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the likelihood of each team scoring first. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and exchange shares, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current price reflects the perceived edge in this contest.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the North Carolina Courage versus San Diego Wave FC match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and authoritative sources to ensure a fair and accurate resolution of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the North Carolina Courage or the San Diego Wave FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's playing style, could also move the market. Finally, any pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators or analysts that favors one team over the other could sway trader sentiment and alter the price of shares in this market.