TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:06 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between North Carolina Courage and Denver Summit FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Denver Summit FC" if Denver Summit FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between North Carolina Courage and Denver Summit FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina Courage" if North Carolina Courage are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Denver Summit FC" if Denver Summit FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach, often incorporating information and analysis not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows for continuous adjustment as new information emerges and more traders participate. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as the event draws closer and more nuanced factors come into play. This difference can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in North Carolina Courage scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the collective prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team – North Carolina Courage or Denver Summit FC – scores the first goal in the match. The outcome will be determined by official match records and reporting from trusted sports news sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Courage or Summit FC would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, or tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could contribute to price movements in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s likelihood of scoring first has the potential to move the market.