TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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North Alabama Lions vs. UC Davis Aggies
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win North Alabama Lions vs UC Davis Aggies?

Total volume:
$282
Volume 24h:
$280
116,521%
Liquidity:
$14,004
444%
Open interest:
$282
11,151%

UC Davis

 - Kalshi

UC Davis - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 09h:23m:17s

UC Davis wins

81%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 81¢ buys you 123 shares | Odds: 81% Total Payout: $123 | Net Profit: $23 Multiplier: 1.23x | ROI: 23% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UC Davis

Trade
81%
Yes 81¢No 20¢
1¢
N/A
$200
8,416%
N/A
$200
9h 23m
Active
kalshi

North Alabama

Trade
20%
2%
Yes 20¢No 81¢
1¢
N/A
$82
51,319%
N/A
$82
9h 23m
Active
polymarket

North Alabama Lions vs. UC Davis Aggies

Trade
20%
Yes 21¢No 81¢
2¢
$13,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6h 23m
Active
predict

North Alabama Lions vs. UC Davis Aggies

Trade
N/A
N/A
35¢
$228
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6h 23m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 18.5¢Max: 35¢
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between North Alabama and UC Davis on November 2, 2026. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is nonsensical, resolving to 'Yes' for either team winning, while Polymarket specifies the winning team as the resolution.Hero tip: Trade Polymarket for the actual game outcome. Kalshi's market is likely to be driven by game postponement/cancellation risk, not the winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team: "North Alabama Lions" or "UC Davis Aggies". If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either North Alabama or UC Davis wins the game. This is a flawed logic, rendering the market effectively a 'game completion' market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between North Alabama Lions and UC Davis Aggies on November 2 at 10:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the men's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not connected with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between North Alabama Lions and UC Davis Aggies on November 2 at 10:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the North Alabama vs. UC Davis game. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $282, with $280 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the probability of different results, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. While Polymarket currently favors North Alabama Lions vs. UC Davis Aggies at 20.0%, Kalshi leans toward UC Davis wins at 81.0%, offering a comprehensive look at expectations for this matchup.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who directly buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and more people participate. While both aim to predict the same event, the incentive structures and information aggregation processes are fundamentally different, resulting in potentially divergent odds.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the North Alabama vs. UC Davis game may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to differences in user base, trading activity, and market-making strategies. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying risk appetites and information sets, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can impact bid-ask spreads and overall price levels. While both platforms ultimately aim to reflect the true probability of the outcome, these factors can lead to temporary discrepancies in pricing for this market.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the North Alabama vs. UC Davis game as reported by official sources. The final score and winning team will be used to determine the winning contract in this market. Traders should monitor official channels for the definitive result, as this will be the basis for settlement across both platforms.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the North Alabama or UC Davis teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they could affect the game's conditions, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders' beliefs. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game may also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.