TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the professional Conference League and follows standard soccer timing rules.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored during the Nordsjaelland versus CSKA Sofia Conference League match scheduled for October 22, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the number of goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with explicit exclusion of extra time or penalty shootout periods. Each market has a distinct threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals—and resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold. The resolution relies exclusively on official match records from the governing league, and Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, tends to be more efficient and can sometimes offer more favorable odds, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-money wagers, potentially revealing insights that differ from traditional expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place wagers, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The goal is for the market price to accurately represent the true probability of the event happening, providing a valuable signal beyond simple polling data.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of goals scored in the Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia match will be used to determine whether the 'Over 1.5 goals' outcome resolves as 'Yes' or 'No'. The final result will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nordsjaelland or CSKA Sofia would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift the odds. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team tactics or formations might influence traders’ predictions. Finally, significant betting activity itself – a large influx of volume on either side – will directly impact the price of this market.