TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a professional KNVB soccer match between Noordwijkerhout and EVV Echt, specifically whether a particular team will win within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result after regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled, a fair price adjustment will apply.
The event determines the winner of the Noordwijkerhout vs EVV Echt professional KNVB soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Noordwijkerhout win, EVV Echt win, or a tie. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specified condition is met. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of Noordwijkerhout winning, they can influence the price on Kalshi through their trading activity. This can lead to discrepancies between the two, potentially offering opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Noordwijkerhout winning in regulation time. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment. The current price essentially represents the market’s forecast for the likelihood of that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Noordwijkerhout vs EVV Echt match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team wins the match within regulation time, excluding any potential overtime or penalty shootouts. The platform will verify the final score against official sources to determine whether Noordwijkerhout secured a victory, triggering payout to those who held 'yes' contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Noordwijkerhout or EVV Echt could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even public statements from key players, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, if widely reported, might prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids and asks on Kalshi.