TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of two professional esports teams competing in a specific game map during a scheduled tournament match. The outcome depends solely on which team secures victory in that particular map, reflecting strategic gameplay and team dynamics under competitive pressure.
The event determines the winner of map 2 in the VCT Champions 2026 match between Nongshim RedForce and Team Vitality, scheduled for October 8, 2026, at 8:00 AM EDT. If either team wins the map, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official ruling from the tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it may indicate that the crowd believes a different outcome is more likely than the sportsbook suggests. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic environment. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the teams' performance.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the Nongshim RedForce versus Team Vitality League of Legends match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. It is important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date nears.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Nongshim RedForce or Team Vitality could significantly shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event, or even early performance within Map 1 of the series, could also impact the odds. Major upsets in other professional League of Legends matches could also create broader shifts in confidence regarding team strengths, ultimately affecting volume and price movement in this market.