TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team advances from the soccer tie between Noja and Ribadesella CF in the Preliminary Round of the Copa del Rey. The outcome depends on the overall result of the tie, including any applicable extra time or penalty shootouts if necessary.
The market resolves based on which team advances from the Noja vs Ribadesella CF soccer tie in the Preliminary Round of the Copa del Rey. Advancement is determined by the aggregate result of the tie, which may include extra time or penalty shootouts if required to produce a winner. References to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are purely descriptive and do not imply any endorsement or affiliation. The markets are independent of any league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the market as new information becomes available. It’s common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches and more traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means that the odds are constantly updating, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result of the Noja vs Ribadesella match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Noja vs Ribadesella match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts, or even public opinion expressed on social media, can also play a role. Unexpected results in other matches involving either team could also impact the market, as traders adjust their expectations based on recent performance. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely cause movement in this market.