TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 6:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if nocries signs with a professional Counter-Strike 2 organization by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A professional Counter-Strike 2 organization is any organization that fields a paid Counter-Strike 2 roster in official CS2 competitions. "Signs" refers to nocries entering into a paid contract with an organization to compete in Counter-Strike 2 for that organization. Trials or other relationships that do not include a signed professional playing contract will not count. Sponsorship agreements or other contracts that do not pay nocries to compete in Counter-Strike 2 for a specific organization will also not count. A signed professional contract between nocries and a qualifying Counter-Strike 2 organization within this market's timeframe will qualify even if its effective start date is after August 31, 2026. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the team involved and nocries, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if nocries signs with a professional Counter-Strike 2 organization by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A professional Counter-Strike 2 organization is any organization that fields a paid Counter-Strike 2 roster in official CS2 competitions. "Signs" refers to nocries entering into a paid contract with an organization to compete in Counter-Strike 2 for that organization. Trials or other relationships that do not include a signed professional playing contract will not count. Sponsorship agreements or other contracts that do not pay nocries to compete in Counter-Strike 2 for a specific organization will also not count. A signed professional contract between nocries and a qualifying Counter-Strike 2 organization within this market's timeframe will qualify even if its effective start date is after August 31, 2026. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the team involved and nocries, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Nocries signing with a pro CS2 organization by the resolution date. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the fair probability of the event occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on whether a publicly announced and verifiable contract signing between Nocries and a professional Counter-Strike 2 organization occurs on or before that date. Any announcements or official statements from teams or Nocries themselves will be considered when determining the outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from prominent CS2 organizations regarding roster changes or expressed interest in Nocries would be a major catalyst. Leaks or credible reports from esports insiders about ongoing negotiations could also cause substantial price movement. Furthermore, Nocries’ own statements or social media activity hinting at potential team affiliations could influence trader sentiment. Any significant developments in the competitive CS2 scene, such as team disbandments or unexpected retirements, could also indirectly affect the likelihood of this market resolving positively.