TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
NL: Zug vs. Rapperswil-Jona Lakers
Volume:
$1,014
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Swiss National League (NL) ice hockey match between EV Zug and SC Rapperswil-Jona Lakers scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets predict the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Zug win or Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win) are specified to resolve to the same result (Yes), rendering the market unresolvable and unhedgeable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria is internally contradictory and cannot be settled fairly. Polymarket's binary win-based resolution is the only logically sound version available.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Zug win resolves to 'Zug', Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win resolves to 'Rapperswil-Jona Lakers'. Handles postponements (market stays open) and cancellations (50-50 split). Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Source: nationalleague.ch.
- Kalshi: Contradictory dual-outcome specification: states both 'If SC Rapperswil-Jona Lakers wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If EV Zug wins... resolves to Yes'. Both possible outcomes map to the same resolution state, making differentiation impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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