TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
NL: Zug vs. Davos
Volume:
$11,740
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Switzerland National League (NL) ice hockey match between EV Zug and HC Davos scheduled for March 26, 2026. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering binary outcome markets on the winner of this game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Zug win or Davos win) resolve to Yes, rendering the market unable to differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (Zug vs Davos) with clear edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's version until the market definition is corrected. The current wording makes it impossible to lose the bet if either team wins. Polymarket's market is properly structured and should be the reference for resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes: 'If EV Zug wins...resolve to Yes' AND 'If HC Davos wins...resolve to Yes'. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market logically unresolvable as a binary prediction.
- Polymarket: Standard binary resolution: Zug win resolves to 'Zug', Davos win resolves to 'Davos'. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Shootout goals are counted in final score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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