TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 6:06 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 16 at 1:45PM ET: If ZSC Lions win, the market will resolve to "ZSC Lions". If Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Rapperswil-Jona Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 16 at 1:45PM ET: If ZSC Lions win, the market will resolve to "ZSC Lions". If Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Rapperswil-Jona Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
It’s common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are mispriced, they can take positions in this market, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability of an outcome. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more efficient, though discrepancies can still occur.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic creates a real-time assessment of probabilities based on the aggregated views of market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the NL: ZSC Lions vs. Rapperswil-Jona Lakers game as reported by the Swiss National League. The market will determine which team wins the game and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis favoring one team over the other could also drive trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential shifts in the odds before Oct 16, 2026.