TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 23 at 1:45PM ET: If Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Rapperswil-Jona Lakers". If Ambri-Piotta win, the market will resolve to "Ambri-Piotta". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 23 at 1:45PM ET: If Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Rapperswil-Jona Lakers". If Ambri-Piotta win, the market will resolve to "Ambri-Piotta". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets offer odds that are more aligned with statistical models or expert analysis than those offered by sportsbooks, though this isn’t always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in the various potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rapperswil-Jona Lakers versus Ambri-Piotta game within the Swiss National League playoffs. Any official announcements or final statistics released by the league will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Rapperswil-Jona Lakers or Ambri-Piotta would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding coaching changes or internal team dynamics could affect the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other playoff games could also indirectly influence this market, as they might alter the overall competitive landscape.